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The journey to this year’s
tax cuts reflects policymakers’ difficulty in balancing several competing
visions of the future and claims on the projected federal surplus. Some wanted to repay the publicly held debt
of the government and save for a future downturn. Others saw an opportunity to invest in
education, Medicare prescription drug coverage, and other initiatives. President Bush campaigned on his vision of
how to balance these competing concerns.
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From a projected $5.6
trillion surplus for the period 2002-2011, he asked Congress to preserve $2.6
trillion attributable to Social Security and to allocate $1.6 trillion of the
remaining $3.0 trillion in projected surpluses for tax cuts and $0.6 trillion
for other spending and increased interest costs. The Act largely follows the president’s tax
plan cutting taxes by $1.35 trillion through 2011.
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The Act represents the largest tax cuts
since 1981.
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• It imposes a complicated array
of unprecedented back-loaded (time delayed) effective dates reaching out to
2010. Some provisions are effective in
2001, many start next year, and others won’t start until five or 10 years
from now.
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• Unfortunately, the Act
contains a provision terminating its tax cut provisions after December 31,
2010 (sunset provision). This is an
artifact of arcane federal budget rules, that will have the effect of
creating an enormous expiring provision issue to be addressed by later
Congresses.
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